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Real world events

Just a quick post here. I love this example from the well known Ryan Florence…. (link to source) So many tutorials are afraid to dive into real world examples – scared to show you the full complexity of whats required for real world scenarios. Here is a working example of this button (link). This is […]

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Testing

Recently in our software engineering class we tackled a topic I’ve really wanted to dig into – testing. I know from my work at Greps how highly valued really extensive and logical unit testing is but I’d never written an actual test before today. I’m sure my excuses are fairly typical – assuming the happy […]

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REACT dev

A few weeks I started learning React. I’m really enjoying developing my front end skills and felt that due to it’s industry prominence and commendations from esteemed dev’s such as Eric Elliot I couldn’t go wrong by spending some time with it. The most persuasive and detailed reasoning I’ve come across is here in a […]

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TDD

TDD and general unit testing is something new for me and an area I want to get proficient in. I’m persuaded by the arguments in this weeks software engineering classes and by Eric Elliots strong words! (link). I’ve uploaded some basic tests to my Github (link) if you want to see some example code from […]

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P-HACKING: CLOSING THOUGHTS

WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN FOR YOU? This series on p-hacking has been very rewarding on a personal level as I feel it’s provided me with a much better understanding of what the research world entails. I hope I’ve been able to convey as much in my writing. If you’re a budding data scientist like […]

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THE P-VALUE MISINTERPRETATION

Why do experienced researchers make this mistake? Simply put p-values are counter intuitive to interpret and suffer from the practice of being described simply! It is very easy to get away with saying to a non-researcher / scientist that p-values require a 0.05 value to demonstrate significance or success in a study.  I posit that […]

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SOLUTIONS TO P HACKING

Thus far we have discussed the principle, the associated problems, the code and the statistics behind the p-value but we have yet to discuss solutions. It is important to remember that although a major part of the replication crisis is the p-value, the tool which enables it, it isn’t 100% responsible.  NEWBIE  I will admit […]

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P-hacking with Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (profile link) is the inspiration for this blog series, hence the Black Swan Explorations title. His books are best sellers with his unique writing style and often strong and contrarian opinion. I admit to being a fan of his work although I hope to come across more impartial in this post!  I […]

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P-hacking References

P-HACKING, WHEN AND WHY DID IT ALL START? Why the Father of Modern Statistics Didn’t Believe Smoking Caused Cancer. (n.d.). Retrieved January 12, 2020, from https://priceonomics.com/why-the-father-of-modern-statistics-didnt-believe/ Shafer, G. (n.d.). On the nineteenth-century origins of significance testing and p-hacking. Retrieved December 4, 2019, from http://www.probabilityandfinance.com Not Even Scientists Can Easily Explain P-values | FiveThirtyEight. (n.d.). Retrieved December  3, 2019, […]

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PRACTICAL P-VALUES

There has been a lot of theoretical discussion thus far on my p-hacking posts which is necessary to get the foundations of a complex subject well understood. But if you are anything like me then you will find a lot of value in practical examples and demonstrations. Even more so if they are interactive. First […]